Author Archives: agetz

Florida called ‘ground zero’ for flood risk

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March 21  |  Florida, Global Warming, News  |   agetz

Global warming could swell seas three feet higher by 2100, putting more than 1.6 million Floridians at risk of flooding, according to research released Wednesday.

That many people in Florida live less than three feet above the high-tide line. And even more could fall within harm’s way from storm surge as melting ice caps catch up to all the warming in recent years, the researchers said.

“When you remove an ice cube from the freezer and put it on the table, it takes a while to melt,” said Ben Strauss, a researcher with Climate Central, a nonprofit group of scientists and journalists based in New Jersey. “While we still have time to act to slow sea-level rise, in the long run we’re already committed to a certain amount of sea-level rise.”

Strauss helped write two new studies that show for the first time the possible vulnerability of the nation’s population, housing and land from sea-level rise, including local timelines for how fast the risk is likely to increase.

The studies, published in Environmental Research Letters, also included scientists from the University of Arizona and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

They mapped how the threat from even small increases in sea level affect storm surge, especially for people living less than 1 to 6 meters above the local average high tide line.

They found:

Florida ranks the most at-risk in the nation, with 894,339 housing units less than 1 meter above the high-tide line.

About 12,355 square miles of the coastal U.S. (an area bigger than Maryland) and 2,206 square miles in Florida lies less than 1 meter above the high-tide line, threatening about 2 million houses and 3.7 million people.

At the closest tide gauge to Brevard that the researchers examined, Fernandina Beach, sea level rose an average of 2.4 millimeters a year from 1959 to 2008.

Climate Central also plans to launch a website, SurgingSeas.org, which includes an interactive map to search risks at the neighborhood level.

“Florida is ground zero for sea level rise,” Strauss said.

(Page 2 of 2)

“The impacts that we present are probabilities,” he added. “People choose to live with different risks. This is not a guarantee of a result.”

At current sea-level rise estimates of 2 to 3 millimeters per year in Florida, the ocean would take more than 400 years to rise by 4 feet.

But fire, sewer, roads and other critical infrastructure along the Space Coast could be compromised by half that amount of rise, which could happen by 2050, according to a study two years ago of Satellite Beach. A quarter of the city’s current 3.4 square miles would go under water by 2100 if sea level rises 4 feet or higher, according to the study by a Melbourne consultant and a researcher at Florida International University.

“A lot of the flooding will occur along the lagoon side,” said Randall Parkinson, a local geologist who worked on the Satellite Beach study.

“I don’t think the state has a strategy, in fact I know they don’t,” Parkinson said.

“It’s a lot about what happens after you have a catastrophic event, how do you redevelop?” he said of the planning Florida ought to be doing.

In 2009, Broward, Miami-Dade, Palm Beach and Monroe counties formed a compact to map out ways to adapt to climate change.

“At the state level, I think we’re going backwards,” Parkinson said. “But regional and local, that’s where we are beginning to see some progress.”

“The impacts that we present are probabilities,” he added. “People choose to live with different risks. This is not a guarantee of a result.”

At current sea-level rise estimates of 2 to 3 millimeters per year in Florida, the ocean would take more than 400 years to rise by 4 feet.

But fire, sewer, roads and other critical infrastructure along the Space Coast could be compromised by half that amount of rise, which could happen by 2050, according to a study two years ago of Satellite Beach. A quarter of the city’s current 3.4 square miles would go under water by 2100 if sea level rises 4 feet or higher, according to the study by a Melbourne consultant and a researcher at Florida International University.

“A lot of the flooding will occur along the lagoon side,” said Randall Parkinson, a local geologist who worked on the Satellite Beach study.

“I don’t think the state has a strategy, in fact I know they don’t,” Parkinson said.

“It’s a lot about what happens after you have a catastrophic event, how do you redevelop?” he said of the planning Florida ought to be doing.

In 2009, Broward, Miami-Dade, Palm Beach and Monroe counties formed a compact to map out ways to adapt to climate change.

“At the state level, I think we’re going backwards,” Parkinson said. “But regional and local, that’s where we are beginning to see some progress.”

AIR and RMS agree multi-year data sharing deal

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March 21  |  AIR Worldwide and Risk Management Solutions, Eqecat, News  |   agetz

Rival catastrophe modelling firms AIR Worldwide and Risk Management Solutions have formed an agreement to share exposure data, in response to the growing numbers of clients using multiple models.

An AIR spokesperson told Insurance Insight that the firm had observed an increasing number of insurers and reinsurers using multiple models and struggling with the workflow inefficiencies of moving exposure data between them.

“Options for addressing this situation will remain limited and imperfect until the catastrophe model providers cooperate directly to come up with a better solution,” he said.

The deal to share exposure data schemas with each other is designed to facilitate interoperability between the firms’ mutual clients.

Under the terms of the agreement each company will grant the other the right to develop capabilities in its products to directly import data from the other’s data formats.

It is a multi-year agreement, meaning that both firms will be able to maintain capabilities as future updates are made to either party’s schemes.

In a separate statement RMS commented: “Both RMS and AIR are pleased that, despite being competitors, we were able to collaborate very effectively in agreeing on an arrangement to address this issue to benefit our mutual clients.

“RMS is currently evaluating opportunities to form similar agreements with other catastrophe modelling firms.”

There has been speculation following the deal that the another major catastrophe modelling player, Eqecat, is in talks with RMS and AIR to join the alliance, but the firm has not yet confirmed whether this is the case.

‘Depopulating’ Citizens

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March 15  |  Citizens, News  |   agetz

By TBO.COM | Staff

Published: March 11, 2012

The Florida Legislature unfortunately ended its 2012 session Friday without taking steps to further “depopulate” the state-run Citizens Property Insurance Corp. Lawmakers and other state officials must make it a priority.

Intended as the property insurer of last resort in Florida, Citizens has swelled to the state’s largest, with 1.5 million policies. This dangerous policy must be reversed.

Citizens’ customers in many cases enjoy rates below those charged by the private market, which dropped them. But giving a good deal isn’t Citizens’ purpose. It should not continue providing low rates and coverage in direct competition with private insurers and deterring more private capital from investing in Florida.

The state and all its insured property owners are on dangerous turf because of Citizens’ vast umbrella. As of late September, Citizens had a total exposure of more than $508 billion. Yet, according to state reports, it had only $12.9 billion available to pay claims last hurricane season.

Citizens has estimated the “one-in-100-year” hurricane, which officials say has a 1 percent probability of striking, would cost more than $22 billion. This is simply too much risk for all insured property owners in the state — who must pay assessments when Citizens doesn’t have enough money to pay claims.

Citizens is required to maintain a program to reduce its number of policyholders, and it is making inroads. In 2009 and 2010, Citizens shed a total of more than 200,000 policies.

The entity is taking steps to stop offering better deals than private insurers. This includes eliminating “builders’ risk” coverage, which covers a builder while a project is being constructed. Citizens has been providing much cheaper coverage than the private market, says state Insurance Commissioner Kevin McCarty.

The Legislature had a chance to make more inroads this session, but a bill by Sen. Garrett Richter, R-Naples, met heavy resistance and died. Richter’s bill would have allowed “surplus lines” insurers to take on Citizens’ policies.

These insurers are not regulated by the state and thus don’t need state approval for rates or rate increases. In addition, a policy covered by a surplus lines company isn’t backed by the Florida Insurance Guaranty Association, which usually pays claims if licensed insurers go broke or collapse.

A major flaw in the bill was that surplus lines firms — which would have had to meet certain legislative requirements, including “maintaining” $50 million “in surplus” — would have been able take a Citizens’ policy without a policyholder initiating it.

While a property owner could have elected to stay in Citizens, such a forceful policy is unfair. It should be up to a property owner to make that decision after evaluating the risks — the state shouldn’t allow a company to make the decision and then tell an owner to “opt out” if the terms aren’t right.

Fortunately, the legislation was amended in the Senate to protect Citizens’ customers from being targeted so easily, and that helped lead to its death in the House.

Would surplus lines insurance help reduce Citizens’ scope? It’s worthy of more consideration. It could be another much-needed tool, not only to shrink Citizens but to offer property owners more choices.

McCarty says this type of coverage “will fill a greater void in the future.” Already, he says, surplus lines insurance is “used extensively” in Florida, covering commercial properties and “high-value” homes.

For Citizens’ policyholders, it could be a viable alternative. For one thing, they would no longer be subject to the assessments Citizens hits its policyholders with when facing a deficit.

Citizens officials and state lawmakers should continue working to depopulate the entity. Reducing Citizens’ lines of coverage, avoiding risky, hazardous areas, particularly barrier islands, and putting a stop to covering homes worth hundreds of thousands of dollars will help do it. And lawmakers shouldn’t give up on determining whether surplus lines insurers can play a role as well. If Citizens is going to remain, it needs to be the insurer of last resort.

Analysis: Insurers forced to rethink tornado coverage

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March 15  |  Eqecat, News  |   agetz

BOSTON (Reuters) – The deadly start to the 2012 tornado season is forcing insurers to reconsider the risks of coverage in the most storm-prone parts of the United States and industry insiders say they may have to rethink how they handle the underwriting of the reoccurring natural disasters.

Unfortunately, homeowners may find themselves either paying substantially higher rates or not having insurance at all, as insurers try to manage their exposure to what is clearly a growing concern by diversifying geographically and tightening their standards.

The U.S. insurance industry lost nearly $26 billion ontornadoes and related storms in 2011, higher than the previous record, and insurers have already lost as much as $2 billion this year.

But that total is still 50 percent less than what Hurricane Katrina cost the industry in 2005. Still, more bad news could be on the horizon as the bulk of last year’s losses came in April and May, and the peak of tornado season runs through July.

——————————————————————————–

Disaster modeler Eqecat said the total number of tornadoes recorded this year to date is more than twice the seven-year average. It was Eqecat that estimated industry losses from last week’s storms at $1 billion to $2 billion.

“While it’s not to the same scale as what a major hurricane could do to a Florida or the Eastern coastal states, I think the risk of severe thunderstorms is growing and awareness is growing,” said Brad Lemons, vice president of product and pricing at Nationwide Mutual , the eighth-largest property insurer in the country.

Nationwide Insurance, as with others in the industry, is trying a mix of different things like diversifying geographically to moderate its exposure to the most risky locations, tightening underwriting standards and charging more where it can.

PAYING THE COST

Homeowners in hard-hit states are already paying the cost this year. For example, State Farm, the country’s largest home and auto insurer, received approval from regulators for a 5 percent hike in owner-occupied homeowners insurance rates in Alabama as of last November. In Mississippi, it sought a 15.8 percent rate hike for its manufactured housing coverage.

Those rate rises are small in comparison to what people in Louisiana and Florida experienced post-Katrina where many people were paying double within three years.

The tornadoes on Friday generated another 6,300 claims for State Farm in just the first day after impact.

In a statement, State Farm said its response to risk is considered over time and not based on any one event, much like other insurers who say recent rate hikes are more about planning for the future than recovering past losses.

“While recent claims experience is often an indicator of future claims experience, catastrophe claims experience tends to be aberrational. We evaluate catastrophe claims experience over longer periods of time than we do other types of claims experience,” the company said.

The Consumer Federation of America, in a February study written by a former Texas insurance commissioner, claimed homeowners were paying 10 times more out of pocket for damage after Katrina than after Hurricane Andrew in 1992, and rates have rose further since that time.

It is not just homeowners, though; car owners are also feeling the pain. In tornado-hit states, new research suggests catastrophe losses are contributing directly to higher costs, even in the highly competitive world of auto insurance.

“The more we’ve seen tornadoes hit the Midwest, it would be a factor there,” said Amy Danise, editorial director of Insure.com, which does comparisons on state-by-state auto insurance rates. “When you’re seeing these storms sweep through multiple times in one season, that’s where you’ll definitely see a correlation.”

Insure.com’s survey, looking at rates from six of the largest carriers in the country, found that storm-prone states like Louisiana and Oklahoma top the list, while rates in places like Wisconsin and Maine can be as much as two-thirds less.

CHANGING STANDARDS

The phrase “perfect storm” is overused, but in last Friday’s case, it might well be true.

“Nearly every factor meteorologists look for when forecasting severe thunderstorms and tornadoes was in place,” AccuWeather said in a report Monday.

Given how frequent twisters have become in the last year or so, one solution for the industry is to simply get out of the storms’ way.

While it is rare for an insurer to go out of business or fail outright — 23 property and casualty insurers failed from 2008 to 2011, according to the National Conference of Insurance Guaranty Funds. Last May, Alfa Mutual stopped writing policies on older Alabama homes in the face of tornado losses.

For larger insurers wary of a similar fate, that means not putting all of their eggs in one regional basket.

“As the severity of a tornado increases, as you get up to an F5, it’s less about the quality of risk actually and more about the quantity of risk,” said Erik Nikodem, a senior vice president of the AIGunit Lexington Insurance. “We’re paying a lot of attention to the amount of the risk that we have and the aggregation of the risk in a geographic concentration.”

It also means making changes in how risks are assessed and how policies are written. Travelers , a top-10 property insurer, said in late January it is continuing to push underwriting changes to improve its profitability.

“(We) are underwriting for age and quality of roof, reassessing how we factor in the number and type of previous claims, and implementing higher minimum deductibles for weather and non-weather claims,” CEO Jay Fishman said on a conference call with analysts.

Ben Berkowitz

Reuters

3:56 p.m. EST, March 7, 2012

Florida May Change Citizens’ Policyholder Assessments

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February 29  |  Citizens, News  |   agetz

By Michael Adams | February 28, 2012

Citizens Property Insurance Corp. currently has a three-tier assessment scheme that is triggered in a sequential manner based upon any deficits in the insurer’s three separate property insurance accounts. The insurer has a personal lines account, a commercial lines account, and a coastal account.

Initially, following a deficit in an account, Citizens can assess policyholders up to 15 percent of their premium for a maximum total of 45 percent. If that assessment fails to cover the deficit, Citizens can levy a 6 percent regular assessment for a total of 18 percent on all personal lines policyholders in the private market. If further funds are needed an additional 10 percent emergency assessment can be levied.

Under current law, insurers must pay regular assessments upfront and the recoup them from policyholders. However, emergency assessments can be charged to policyholders within 90 days of a deficit and collected over as many years as needed.

Florida lawmakers, however, are looking to change that assessment scheme to reduce the per year assessment percentage on policyholders by giving them more time to retire any Citizens’ deficit while reduce the immediate financial impact on private carriers that under current law have to pay any regular assessment up front.

The Florida House of Representatives approved a bill (HB 1127), sponsored by Rep. Ben Albritton (R-Bartow), who said he merely wants to cushion the impact of assessments without affecting Citizens’ ability to pay claims.

“This bill in no way limits Citizens’ ability to pay their claims on time,” said Albritton on the House floor.

According to a Senate House of Economic Affairs analysis, the elimination of the six percent regular assessment on the private market means that Citizens policyholders would likely see higher assessments while policyholders in the private market would end up just paying the assessments over a longer period of time.

The bill’s primary impact would be on private insurers.

Since private insurers would no longer have to pay regular assessments –except for the two percent assessment in the coastal account—upfront, the change would largely eliminate any impact on the insurers’ net worth. Lawmakers are hoping this will reduce the chance that any insurer will go bankrupt.

Citizens’ officials indicated the bill would have no negative impact on its ability to pay claims in a timely manner. However, since the insurer would no longer collect monies upfront in the form of regular assessments, it may invest more monies in pre-event bonding.

At this time, it appears Citizens will have substantial financial resources entering into this year’s hurricane season.

According to officials, Citizens is expected to have a surplus of $5.7 billion, an amount that could be augmented by another $6.5 billion in reimbursements from the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund. The insurer also has $575 billion in pre-event bonds that would cover losses located along the state’s coastline. In total, that gives Citizens roughly $12.8 billion in claims paying capacity before levying any assessments on policyholders.

That amount is expected to be able cover a 1-in-50 year storm.

Lynne McChristian: With insurance, our good luck will run out!

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February 24  |  Citizens, Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund, News  |   agetz

We are all citizens of Citizens Property Insurance Corp. and its cousin, the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund. We created them, subsidize them and are on the hook to bail them out.

Today, more people are waking up to the fact that both are significantly overexposed to a catastrophic financial failure, with enormous consequences for us all.

Some of us wonder what took so long for an alarm to sound.

The system is simple — and scary. Florida is financing the recovery from storms, which may strike any year, with future money from the pockets of every person with a homeowner’s insurance policy or an auto, business or boat insurance policy — no matter what insurance company has their business. The resulting economic dangers Florida faces from the costs of a major hurricane are real, not imagined.

Eight of the top 12 historical natural disasters to strike the U.S. affected Florida, and seven of Florida’s most damage-causing hurricanes occurred in a seven-year period. While we’ve been lucky enough to have six consecutive hurricane-free years, luck has a way of running out. That is what is driving discussions and decisions to shrink both of the state-run insurance programs before a big storm reminds us that ignoring the past is no way to plan for the future.

Luck is not a business strategy, as the head of Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (CAT Fund) knows. Jack Nicholson notes that, when a major hurricane strikes, even cooperative, willing investors will bring in no more than $8 billion in bonds to meet the CAT Fund’s current obligation of $18.4 billion. The Cat FUND expects to have around $8 billion in cash, but there’s no way today’s world financial markets would find investors willing to buy nearly $11 billion in bonds to close the gap.

With a smaller CAT Fund, insurers would make up the difference using reinsurance in the private market, rather than buying it from the state. That costs more, because reinsurers provide claims-paying capital upfront, so the fees would be passed on to consumers. But paying a little more now is better than risking unpaid claims after a storm while paying a lot more in the future.

Tempers understandably flare with any talk of property insurance rate increases, so let’s sum up in one four-letter word what is propelling these reform efforts: debt.

Financing future storms with debt seems popular with people who are getting lower rates today. That tune changes when the bill comes due, including the bill we are still paying from Hurricane Wilma in 2005. Insurance claims drive insurance premiums. If sufficient money is not available the year it is needed, the two state-run insurance programs collect it on the back end for as long as necessary. “Pay it forward” is what the private market is required to do; “pay it backward” — year after year — is the way the state insurance programs run, by design.

This year, policymakers are considering ways to reduce the size of Citizens and gradually shrink the CAT Fund. Any effective solution must face reality and directly acknowledge the risks we all face from betting on quick bailouts from private insurers, who then are allowed to add an assessment for this to your property, auto, business and boat insurance policies.

Florida has been betting its future economy for a dangerously long time, and what was once politically popular will prove disastrous when the wind blows. The danger signal over financing catastrophes with money the state does not have is a real alarm, not a false alarm. It’s time to heed it before we wish we had.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Lynne McChristian is the Florida representative for the Insurance Information Institute.

ompanies that can charge what they want should not be able to take Citizens’ policies!

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February 20  |  Citizens, News  |   agetz

Imagine this nightmare scenario for a Florida homeowner:

A letter arrives to say that a private company has taken over your homeowners policy from Citizens Property Insurance Corp. There isn’t much explanation, but the first-year rate quote isn’t awful. The next year, though, the policy goes up 40 percent. That summer, a storm does serious damage to your house. The company that said it would cover you goes under, and there’s no money to pay your claim.

Such a scenario is possible if the Florida Senate goes along with the House in letting “surplus lines” companies assume policies from Citizens, the state-run insurer. Unlike “admitted” companies, surplus lines companies’ rates are not regulated in Florida. Companies can charge whatever they want without approval from the Office of Insurance Regulation. They are not part of the Florida Insurance Guaranty Association, the fund to pay claims from bankrupt companies.

Admittedly, there’s a problem when the state-run insurer of last resort has more policies (1.4 million) than any other company. In its push to shrink Citizens at any cost, however, the House set up hundreds of thousands of consumers for sticker shock and worse.

Traditionally, surplus lines companies have covered high-end, highest-risk properties for whose owners money is no object. Indeed, the Insurance Information Institute’s 2012 handbook says, “The surplus lines market exists to assume risks that licensed companies decline to insure or will only insure at a very high price, with many exclusions or with a very high deductible.” This market is for the oceanfront mansion owner, not the inland three-bedroom two-bath owner. Citizens itself just correctly reduced to $1 million from $2 million the maximum replacement value that can be included in a hurricane policy.

Under HB 245, Citizens policyholders who received offers from surplus lines companies would have to take action to stay with Citizens. Instead, they should have to take action to switch companies, which would more likely prompt a call to their agent with questions. This legislation would enable companies to trick policyholders into thinking that they have no other option. Homeowners now can choose Citizens if the cheapest private policy costs 15 percent more.

During his November meeting with The Palm Beach Post Editorial Board and regularly thereafter, Gov. Scott has spoken of the need to reduce the cost of living in Florida. If the Legislature allows surplus lines insurers to start picking up Citizens policies, it surely will raise the cost of living – dramatically, in some cases – and hurt the recovery of the real estate market. And as former state insurance consumer advocate Sean Shaw points out, what happens with Citizens tends to happen with private carriers. If legislators believe that unregulated property insurance rates will help Florida, they’re dreaming.

- Randy Schultz,

for The Palm Beach Post Editorial Board

In a twist, lawmakers, insurers argue Citizens in good shape

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February 14  |  Citizens, News  |   agetz

By Zac Anderson Saturday, February 11, 2012

TALLAHASSEE

It’s almost heresy in the Capitol, but one conclusion leaps out in the debate surrounding Citizens Property Insurance Corp. in certain committee rooms this year: Florida’s much maligned state-run insurer is in solid financial shape.

The idea runs counter to everything lawmakers and insurance lobbyists have been saying in recent years as they seek to dismantle the government insurance giant. It is being repeated in subtle, sometimes grudging, but unmistakable ways as lawmakers consider ditching one of the assessments Citizens can levy on private insurance policies after a major hurricane.

Insurance companies badly want the assessment gone, so lobbyists who normally denounce Citizens as financially unsound are highlighting the company’s $6 billion reserve, sterling credit rating and enviable borrowing ability to argue that the post-disaster income stream is no longer needed.

Florida’s largest insurer — with 1.5 million policies — is so healthy, they note, it could easily pay the $7.3 billion in claims from a repeat of the record-setting 2004-05 hurricane seasons. Citizens could even survive another Hurricane Andrew — the monster storm that hit South Florida in 1992 and sent the state’s insurance market into a 20-year tailspin — with relative ease, according to fliers being passed out by one insurance company executive at committee hearings.

The optimistic reviews of Citizens’ finances by some lawmakers and insurance lobbyists contrasts sharply with dire warnings they and Gov. Rick Scott have repeatedly issued in recent months.

Indeed, the idea that Citizens is a grave financial risk is being used to justify controversial efforts to push policies out of the state-run company and into the private market. One of those measures is included in a bill that has already passed the House. It would dump thousands of Citizens policyholders into unregulated “surplus” insurance lines, with companies that can raise rates without state interference.

Scott has made reducing the number of policies held by Citizens a priority. Over the last few months, the insurer has eliminated coverage on structures such as screened porches, pool cages and carports. Company officials also have moved to cap coverage on expensive homes and condos near the coast.

Read more on Florida’s property insurance industry

Lawmakers have justified those moves by saying the company has too much liability and could levy assessments on every insurance policy in Florida to help cover claims if a major disaster strikes.

“The very real possibility that Citizens could face billions of dollars in losses and does not have the money to pay for its claims, in my opinion, is the greatest financial threat facing our state’s economy and already overburdened taxpayers,” Sen. J.D. Alexander, R-Lake Wales, wrote in a newspaper opinion column last year.

But the change in tone on the Citizens assessment bill is so pronounced that some longtime Citizens defenders point to it as proof that breathless warnings about the company’s finances have long been exaggerated.

“The bottom line is the scare tactics that some of my colleagues use, that the governor uses and his administration, their scare tactics are not needed,” said Sen. Mike Fasano, R-New Port Richey.

Take stock before leaving Citizens for a private insurer!

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February 14  |  Citizens, News  |   agetz

Paul Owers, Sun Sentinel

February 12, 2012

Private companies offer coverage, but state-run insurer’s rates tough to beat

Florida’s largest insurer faces a big risk from hurricane damage and is trying to reduce it by shifting customers to other carriers. But policyholders must do some homework before accepting a transfer, consumer advocates say.

If they decide in favor, they will help shrink state-sponsored Citizens, which has 1.5 million policies and more than $500 billion. The transfers are part of a program approved by the Legislature to reduce the need for post-storm charges if Citizens runs out of money.

Everyone in the state may be charged up to 6 percent of his annual premium if Citizens lacks money to pay claims after a storm. But Citizens policyholders would pay first and could pay the most — up to 45 percent of their premiums.

A few thousand offers are sent to Citizens customers by private insurers every other month. Homeowners who accept the offer sometimes pay higher rates. But if they stay with Citizens, they face the possibility of a steep assessment.

That’s ultimately what persuaded Ray Oneidas, 85, of Tamarac, to leave Citizens recently. Oneidas, who owns a two-bedroom house, said his Citizens premium is $1,800 and he’ll have to pay only $100 more a year for the same coverage with Florida Peninsula Insurance Co. of Boca Raton.

“I decided to get away from Citizens,” he said. “I don’t want to be liable for any deficits.”

In general, a private insurer provides “more robust coverage” with a lower risk of assessments from Citizens, said Roger Desjadon, president of Florida Peninsula.

Sean Shaw, founder of Policyholders of Florida, which calls itself a pro-consumer group, agrees that it’s best to have coverage from a private insurer because Citizens needs to be smaller. In the past, though, he said homeowners who switched complained about rate increases after the first year, when their policies were renewed.

Citizens has 212,621 policies in Broward County and 145,291 in Palm Beach County.

Rick Bogani, head of Connect-Bogani Insurance in Royal Palm Beach, said most homeowners go years without thinking about property insurance because their payments are made from escrow accounts. Homeowners who receive offers should shop for coverage — and not necessarily accept a policy from the company that sent the letter.

The state’s free referral service, the Florida Market Assistance Program, matches customers who can’t find property insurance with licensed agents and insurers selling new policies. Register for the program at fmap.org or call 800-524-9023 for help.

In addition to closely checking rates, homeowners should make sure they aren’t switched to a private company automatically. A letter sent to Citizens policyholders by Florida Peninsula says they must specifically reject the offers or their policies will be switched automatically.

The state allows for that wording because it’s trying to encourage customers to leave Citizens, said Jack McDermott, spokesman for the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation.

Shaw said customers who do nothing shouldn’t face losing their Citizens coverage. “You don’t want people to get [moved] into another insurance company just because they didn’t respond,” he said.

2011 Cats Lead to Largest U.S. P&C Underwriting Loss Since 2002

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February 14  |  News  |   agetz

NU Online News Service, Feb. 6, 1:18 p.m. EST

Catastrophe losses in 2011 led to the U.S. property and casualty industry’s largest underwriting loss since 2002, and while 2012 should see a “modest improvement” in pricing, a true hard market is likely “at least a year or two away,” according to A.M. Best.

In a special report on theU.S.property and casualty industry’s 2011 results, Best says $44.1 billion in catastrophe losses for the year helped drive net income down 49.2 percent to $21.9 billion. In 2010, industry net income was $43.1 billion and catastrophe losses totaled $19.6 billion.

Underwriting losses are expected to total approximately $33.9 billion for 2011, the second consecutive year of underwriting losses and the third-larges annual underwriting loss ever behind 2001 ($56.4 billion) and 2002 ($34.3 billion).

The industry’s combined ratio climbed 6.5 points to 107.5 for 2011. Catastrophe-related losses accounted for 10.1 points, compared to 4.6 points in 2010. Reserve releases shaved 2.7 points off of the 2011 combined ratio, down from three points from reserve releases in 2010.

Best says it expects the impact of reserve releases to decline going forward. “While there are select lines where reserving strength remains, A.M. Best continues to believe the overall industry’s previous reserve cushion is largely exhausted because of sizable reserve releases over the past six calendar years.”

The ratings agency adds, “With overall industry reserve redundancies expected to continue through 2012, albeit to a lesser extent, the overall reserve deficiency will continue to increase, and core, undiscounted reserves will remain inadequate.”

Despite the challenges in 2011, the industry’s policyholders’ surplus declined only 1.4 percent to $562.7 billion, Best says. In 2010, policyholders’ surplus stood at a record $570.4 billion.

Additionally, the industry saw net premiums written increase 3.5 percent to $442 billion.

Best says, “While the overall U.S. P&C industry demonstrated its resiliency yet again in 2011 and remains well capitalized, the year’s results—and expectations for 2012—will vary by segment.”

Best says pricing continues to improve in personal lines and in catastrophe-exposed property accounts, but some commercial lines are still “fundamentally underpriced, and the segment continues to be negatively impacted by weak macroeconomic conditions and decreasing reserve adequacy levels.”

The outlook for commercial lines remains negative as a result, Best says, while personal lines andU.S.reinsurance are stable.

Looking ahead to 2012, Best says it believes a traditional hard market is still a year or two away, although, industry operating performance is expected to improve in 2012. Best says insurers “still face a challenging environment, with relatively weak underwriting results and lackluster investment returns expected to influence operating results over the next year.”

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